Population and household projections
The authorities of Derbyshire County Council, Derby City Council, Nottinghamshire County Council and Nottingham City Council (DDNN) have recently been working collaboratively to produce up-to-date population and household projections for all local authorities in Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire. The projections have been produced to respond to the government’s intention in the Localism Bill to revoke regional spatial strategies, including the East Midlands Regional Plan, and give local authorities responsibility for setting their own house building targets.
The projections have been produced, in particular, to support the evidence base for the Local Development Framework Core Strategies being prepared in each of the local authorities in the two counties. The Northern HMA comprises the four local planning authorities Bassetlaw District Council, Bolsover District Council, Chesterfield Borough Council and North East Derbyshire District Council.
The Local Government Association’s (LGA) POPGROUP Population and Household Projections Model has been used to produce the projections because it is the most widely used and nationally recognised model which is currently available. The projections have been commissioned from a company called Edge Analytics, which is the custodian of POPGROUP on behalf of the LGA and is the national supplier of population and household forecasting data to public and private sector organisations.
The commissioning authorities (DDNN) requested the consultants to provide a range of projections based on six key growth scenarios.
The Chesterfield Borough Council and the remaining Northern HMA authorities are carefully considering the projections and are using the projections to provide a technical background for a more focussed consultation on the broad range of options for housing growth in the Northern HMA between 2008 and 2031.